Bhutan (K) 2-1 Lübnan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jul 2025

Bhutan (K)
2-1
Lübnan (K)
📅10/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Asian Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Bhutan (K) vs Lübnan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bhutan (K) v Lübnan (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bhutan (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübnan (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bhutan (K) 2-1 Lübnan (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bhutan (K)
2-1
AWAY Lübnan (K)
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bhutan (K) vs Lübnan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bhutan (K) edged past Lübnan (K) 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lübnan (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bhutan (K) had 39% of the ball to Lübnan (K)'s 61%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Bhutan (K) vs Lübnan (K)?

Bhutan (K) 2-1 Lübnan (K) in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bhutan (K) vs Lübnan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lübnan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bhutan (K) 34%, draw 23%, Lübnan (K) 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lübnan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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