İspanya 2-1 Belçika — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — World Cup, 10 Jul 2026

İspanya DWWWW→
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Belçika DDWDW→
📅10/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
World Cup – 2026 Kanada/Meksika/ABD

İspanya vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 09:33
Match Result
HomeVIEW
59%
1.63
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
17%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.98
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.79
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.09
6+
6%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.04
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.33
X/2
7%
10.75
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
9%
8.38
2/X
5%
15.5
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

İspanya v Belçika — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İspanya The Market 61%
Signal
AWAY Belçika The Market 21%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
Bad Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Great
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2

İspanya vs Belçika Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Belçika
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
01.09.2016 Belçika Belçika 0-2 HT 0-1 İspanya İspanya HAZ
05.09.2009 İspanya İspanya 5-0 HT 1-0 Belçika Belçika DKE
15.10.2008 Belçika Belçika 1-2 HT 1-1 İspanya İspanya DKE
08.10.2005 Belçika Belçika 0-2 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya DKE
09.10.2004 İspanya İspanya 2-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika DKE

İspanya 2-1 Belçika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
2 - 1
AWAY Belçika
1.96 xG 0.34
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
598 Passes 243
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW İspanya vs Belçika
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İspanya edged past Belçika 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 54% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: possession split 68% to 32% in İspanya's favour, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.96 to 0.34 — on chances created, İspanya won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.60 a game for İspanya against 0.20 for Belçika.

İspanya vs Belçika Result & Final Score

İspanya 2 - 1 Belçika in the World Cup on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İspanya vs Belçika Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split İspanya 59%, draw 24%, Belçika 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →