İspanya 2-1 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 10 Jul 2026

İspanya
2-1 HT 1-1
Belçika
📅10/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup – 2026 Kanada/Meksika/ABD

İspanya vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.33
X/2
9%
10.75
X/X
10%
5.39
2/1
10%
22.65
2/2
9%
8.38
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İspanya v Belçika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 21%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.60/3.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.00
-73% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +80%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
– Crosses 7.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

İspanya vs Belçika Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Belçika
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
01.09.2016 Belçika Belçika 0-2 HT 0-1 İspanya İspanya HAZ
05.09.2009 İspanya İspanya 5-0 HT 1-0 Belçika Belçika DKE
15.10.2008 Belçika Belçika 1-2 HT 1-1 İspanya İspanya DKE
08.10.2005 Belçika Belçika 0-2 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya DKE
09.10.2004 İspanya İspanya 2-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika DKE

İspanya 2-1 Belçika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
2-1
AWAY Belçika
1.96 xG 0.34
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
598 Passes 243
41 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İspanya vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya edged past Belçika 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.96 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İspanya's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for İspanya and 0.20 for Belçika.

What was the final score of İspanya vs Belçika?

İspanya 2-1 Belçika in the World Cup on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İspanya 52%, draw 25%, Belçika 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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