Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.75
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
9%
7.79
X/2
15%
4.28
X/X
14%
5.06
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.51
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.82/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.93
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Falkirk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
08.04.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 2-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
07.03.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
05.11.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
17.09.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
09.10.2020 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
13.04.2019 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk beat Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.67 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 29%, draw 29%, Falkirk 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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