AFC Totton 1-0 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
37%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.21
Over 2.5
43%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
56%
-20.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
21%
+16.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.94/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.74
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Walton & Hersham
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 3-0 HT 1-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
01.01.2024 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 2-2 HT 0-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton edged past Walton & Hersham 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; AFC Totton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Totton had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AFC Totton and 1.00 for Walton & Hersham.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham?

AFC Totton 1-0 Walton & Hersham in the England - Non League Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 36%, draw 27%, Walton & Hersham 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Walton & Hersham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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