Banbury United 1-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 32%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.28/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.03
+39% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United and AFC Sudbury shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Banbury United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs AFC Sudbury?

Banbury United 1-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 43%, draw 29%, AFC Sudbury 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Banbury United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banbury United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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