Ilkeston Town 2-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
2.06/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.34
+25% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
15.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 4-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and Gainsborough Trinity shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ilkeston Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ilkeston Town and 0.00 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Ilkeston Town 2-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 41%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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