Spalding United 1-0 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Aug 2024

Spalding United
1-0 HT 1-0
Bedford Town
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs Bedford Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v Bedford Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.5
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United nicked a narrow win over Bedford Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Bedford Town?

Spalding United 1-0 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 50%, draw 24%, Bedford Town 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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