Sion 2-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.4
X/1
13%
3.99
X/2
10%
10.75
X/X
9%
6.4
2/1
6%
20.2
2/2
8%
7.59
2/X
6%
15.8
Value flag · 1/X at 15.4 — our 9% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.48/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.63
-10% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.2 Crosses 11.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Winterthur
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.13 xG 1.06
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2023 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
18.02.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
18.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
02.10.2022 Sion Sion 1-3 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
15.03.2006 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
2-0
AWAY Winterthur
2.20 xG 0.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
440 Passes 369
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion beat Winterthur 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 54% of the ball to Winterthur's 46%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Sion and 1.20 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Sion vs Winterthur?

Sion 2-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sion 52%, draw 24%, Winterthur 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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