10/08/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
40%
4-5
28%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
51%
29%
Draw
24%
24%
Away Win
26%
45%
Under 2.5
36%
55%
Over 2.5
64%
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
38%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 U19 v Nürnberg U19 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mainz 05 U19
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nürnberg U19
The Market 29%
+35% /
+35%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
4.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.64
+95%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-36%
/
-20%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
425 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
12.0
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mainz 05 U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Nürnberg U19
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
10.12.2023
Nürnberg U19
2-2
HT 1-2
Mainz 05 U19
ALU19
2-2
HT 1-2
Mainz 05 U19
ALU19
POST-MATCH
Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mainz 05 U19 swept aside Nürnberg U19 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mainz 05 U19 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19?
Mainz 05 U19 3-0 Nürnberg U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 U19 48%, draw 29%, Nürnberg U19 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALU19
More Germany - U19 Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024