San Lorenzo 0-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
13%
7.56
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.2
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
10%
6.3
X/X
13%
3.04
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.6
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.1pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.19/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.46
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.5 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-3 HT 1-2 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
11.09.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
03.04.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
03.10.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
30.12.2020 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-3 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
24.11.2019 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
0-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.79 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 6
341 Passes 190
73% Pass Accuracy 61%
31 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman squeezed past San Lorenzo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 61% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.79 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.00 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman?

San Lorenzo 0-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 40%, draw 31%, Atletico Tucuman 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Lorenzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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