Rapid Wien II 4-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.67
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
8%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.21
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.75
X/1
23%
4.46
X/2
11%
9.0
X/X
6%
6.39
2/1
5%
19.7
2/2
9%
5.75
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 28%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.00/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.99
-46% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2023 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-4 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.08.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien II
4-2
AWAY Sturm Graz II
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien II saw off Sturm Graz II 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rapid Wien II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Rapid Wien II had 59% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 41%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rapid Wien II and 2.50 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II?

Rapid Wien II 4-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien II 44%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz II 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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10 Aug 2024
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