Velez Mostar 1-2 Zeljeznicar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 31%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.60/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.42
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zeljeznicar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
08.12.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
03.09.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
07.05.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 2-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
19.04.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-2 HT 1-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
05.04.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Mostar
1-2
AWAY Zeljeznicar
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Zeljeznicar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar edged past Velez Mostar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Mostar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Velez Mostar had 35% of the ball to Zeljeznicar's 65%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Velez Mostar and 0.50 for Zeljeznicar.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Zeljeznicar?

Velez Mostar 1-2 Zeljeznicar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Zeljeznicar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 45%, draw 26%, Zeljeznicar 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
10 Aug 2024
19:45 Sloboda Tuzla vs Posusje Analysis →