PKKU 1-1 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 10 Aug 2024

PKKU
1-1 HT 1-1
EPS
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
FİN3 – 2024

PKKU vs EPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 29% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PKKU v EPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PKKU EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 32%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.00
-30% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

PKKU vs EPS Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PKKU
1W-1D-0L
AWAY EPS
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 EPS EPS 2-2 HT 1-0 PKKU PKKU FİN2
17.10.2020 EPS EPS 0-3 HT 0-2 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
POST-MATCH PKKU vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PKKU and EPS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PKKU had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PKKU and 1.00 for EPS.

What was the final score of PKKU vs EPS?

PKKU 1-1 EPS in the FİN3 on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PKKU vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PKKU 40%, draw 24%, EPS 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PKKU), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PKKU) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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