Barry Town 1-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

Barry Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Bala Town
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Barry Town vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.71
6+ Goals
13%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
29%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barry Town v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.10
-2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Barry Town vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bala Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
12.08.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
23.10.2021 Bala Town Bala Town 3-3 HT 3-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
21.08.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
01.05.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
24.04.2021 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Bala Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barry Town and 1.67 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Bala Town?

Barry Town 1-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 22%, draw 31%, Bala Town 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bala Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
10 Aug 2024
16:30 Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU Analysis →