Ansan Greeners 2-1 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.64
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.9 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 399
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
29.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
15.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
18.03.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
11.09.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-3 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
09.07.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
2-1
AWAY Bucheon 1995
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners squeezed past Bucheon 1995 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bucheon 1995 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 48% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 52%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.67 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon 1995?

Ansan Greeners 2-1 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 29%, draw 29%, Bucheon 1995 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bucheon 1995), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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