10/08/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Marquense vs Mixco Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
31%
Draw
28%
20%
Away Win
24%
59%
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 2.5
41%
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
52%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marquense v Mixco — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marquense
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mixco
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+150%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
413 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
323 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
Marquense vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marquense beat Mixco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Marquense vs Mixco?
Marquense 2-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marquense vs Mixco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Marquense 49%, draw 31%, Mixco 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Marquense)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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