Skanste 1-0 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.4pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 26%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.67/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.04.2024 Ogre United 1-1 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste squeezed past Ogre United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Ogre United?

Skanste 1-0 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Skanste 44%, draw 32%, Ogre United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Skanste) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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