Viking 1-1 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
16%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
13%
6.16
X/2
9%
5.57
X/X
8%
5.74
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
23%
3.2
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +27%
1.59/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.09
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
17.8 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.41 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
299 Passes 452
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
06.08.2023 Viking Viking 3-2 HT 2-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
29.05.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-1 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
18.03.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-3 HT 0-2 Viking Viking NOK
06.11.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-4 HT 2-2 Viking Viking NOR
24.04.2022 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
POST-MATCH Viking vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking and Bodo/Glimt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo/Glimt at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Viking and 3.00 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Viking vs Bodo/Glimt?

Viking 1-1 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Viking 33%, draw 24%, Bodo/Glimt 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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10 Aug 2024
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