Brezilya (K) 0-1 ABD (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 10 Aug 2024

Brezilya (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
ABD (K)
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Brezilya (K) vs ABD (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.01 — our 23% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.93
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
15.75
X/1
7%
9.6
X/2
13%
3.91
X/X
16%
4.48
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.25
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brezilya (K) v ABD (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.30/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.84/0.66
-100% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
5.0 Crosses 15.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Brezilya (K) vs ABD (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY ABD (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.81 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 263
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.03.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) GKK
23.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
06.03.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
03.08.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
31.07.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-3 HT 1-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
25.10.2015 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ

Brezilya (K) 0-1 ABD (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya (K)
0-1
AWAY ABD (K)
1.54 xG 1.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
228 Passes 133
66% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brezilya (K) vs ABD (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) edged past Brezilya (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brezilya (K) had 60% of the ball to ABD (K)'s 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.54 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brezilya (K) and 2.50 for ABD (K).

What was the final score of Brezilya (K) vs ABD (K)?

Brezilya (K) 0-1 ABD (K) in the Olympics on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya (K) vs ABD (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brezilya (K) 25%, draw 32%, ABD (K) 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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