Nafta 0-3 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Nafta
0-3 HT 0-2
ND Primorje
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nafta vs ND Primorje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nafta v ND Primorje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Nafta 0-3 ND Primorje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
0-3
AWAY ND Primorje
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nafta vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje cruised past Nafta 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nafta at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 55% of the ball to ND Primorje's 45%, shots finished 4-15.

What was the final score of Nafta vs ND Primorje?

Nafta 0-3 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nafta 45%, draw 31%, ND Primorje 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nafta), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →