Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.98/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.66
-13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
25.4 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 0.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 183
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2025 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
06.09.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
20.04.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
1-0
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.04 xG 1.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
226 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions edged past Shanghai Jiading 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Qingdao Red Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 44% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.04 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shanghai Jiading led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.00 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Shanghai Jiading?

Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Red Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 38%, draw 32%, Shanghai Jiading 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
10 Aug 2025
14:00 Suzhou Dongwu vs Hebei Kungfu Analysis →
14:30 Guangzhou E-Power vs Guangxi Baoyun Analysis →
14:30 Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →