HB Koge 0-2 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

HB Koge
0-2 HT 0-1
Aalborg
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

HB Koge vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
33%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.2
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
9%
8.4
X/2
15%
4.63
X/X
7%
6.03
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
32%
2.35
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.2 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.27/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.12
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
15.6 Crosses 22.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

HB Koge vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aalborg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.69 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
391 Passes 442
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.09.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.11.2019 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
20.05.2012 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN
19.03.2012 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
27.08.2011 HB Koge HB Koge 1-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

HB Koge 0-2 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-2
AWAY Aalborg
0.69 xG 3.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
374 Passes 456
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 39
28 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg beat HB Koge 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 46% of the ball to Aalborg's 54%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.69 to 3.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HB Koge and 2.17 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Aalborg?

HB Koge 0-2 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 26%, draw 19%, Aalborg 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
10 Aug 2025
15:00 Lyngby vs Hvidovre Analysis →