Midtjylland 3-3 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.74
Over 2.5
67%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.36
2-3 Goals
34%
2.15
4-5 Goals
34%
2.57
6+ Goals
17%
5.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.64
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
16%
4.15
X/2
7%
14.5
X/X
7%
8.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.4
2/2
7%
10.55
2/X
4%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.4 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.4pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
33%
+0.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
67%
+0.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
2.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.57
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
21.0 Crosses 5.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Fredericia
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
30 Total Shots 11
16 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
30.01.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 7-0 HT 4-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia HAZ
19.01.2019 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-3
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.54 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
478 Passes 395
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 46
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland and FC Fredericia couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Midtjylland at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Midtjylland had 54% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 46%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.54 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Midtjylland and 0.50 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs FC Fredericia?

Midtjylland 3-3 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 66%, draw 16%, FC Fredericia 18%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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