Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colwyn Bay v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GAL
4-0
HT 2-0
Colwyn Bay
GALWK
0-2
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GALWK
Colwyn Bay 1-1 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Colwyn Bay and Connahs Quay shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
This one beat our numbers. Connahs Quay carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Colwyn Bay had 42% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 58%, shots finished 11-6.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Colwyn Bay and 2.25 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay?
Colwyn Bay 1-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 20%, draw 22%, Connahs Quay 57%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.