DEAC 1-0 Tarpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 10 Aug 2025

DEAC
1-0 HT 0-0
Tarpa
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DEAC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarpa EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
473 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH DEAC vs Tarpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DEAC edged past Tarpa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had DEAC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of DEAC vs Tarpa?

DEAC 1-0 Tarpa in the Hungary - NB III on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DEAC vs Tarpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a DEAC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split DEAC 56%, draw 26%, Tarpa 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DEAC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (DEAC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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