Moğolistan 2-0 Doğu Timor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
7%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
42%
-12.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moğolistan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Doğu Timor EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moğolistan
2-0
AWAY Doğu Timor
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moğolistan vs Doğu Timor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moğolistan got the better of Doğu Timor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Doğu Timor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moğolistan had 62% of the ball to Doğu Timor's 38%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Moğolistan vs Doğu Timor?

Moğolistan 2-0 Doğu Timor in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moğolistan vs Doğu Timor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doğu Timor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Moğolistan 30%, draw 28%, Doğu Timor 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Doğu Timor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doğu Timor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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