Moldova 1-0 San Marino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Sep 2024

Moldova
1-0 HT 1-0
San Marino
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Moldova vs San Marino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.23
No
63%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
7%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.9pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
27%
+10.1pp
63%
BTTS No
73%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moldova v San Marino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marino EU Bookmakers 8%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/5.25
-60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -55%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
470 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
– Crosses 5.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Moldova vs San Marino Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moldova
5W-0D-0L
AWAY San Marino
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.40 xG 0.42
79% Ball Possession 21%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
630 Passes 106
87% Pass Accuracy 54%
50 Box Touches 8
46 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.11.2018 San Marino San Marino 0-1 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova AVUL
12.10.2018 Moldova Moldova 2-0 HT 1-0 San Marino San Marino AVUL
16.10.2012 San Marino San Marino 0-2 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
11.10.2011 Moldova Moldova 4-0 HT 1-0 San Marino San Marino AVR
12.10.2010 San Marino San Marino 0-2 HT 0-1 Moldova Moldova AVR

Moldova 1-0 San Marino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova
1-0
AWAY San Marino
71% Ball Possession 29%
6 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Moldova vs San Marino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moldova squeezed past San Marino 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moldova as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moldova had 71% of the ball to San Marino's 29%, shots finished 6-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Moldova had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Moldova and 0.00 for San Marino.

What was the final score of Moldova vs San Marino?

Moldova 1-0 San Marino in the Friendlies on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova vs San Marino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moldova win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Moldova 65%, draw 19%, San Marino 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moldova), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moldova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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