Naft Gachsaran 1-0 Shahrdari Noshahr FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.16
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran edged past Shahrdari Noshahr FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naft Gachsaran as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Naft Gachsaran 1-0 Shahrdari Noshahr FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 55%, draw 24%, Shahrdari Noshahr FC 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Gachsaran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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