SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.49/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.74
+34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chayka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2021 Chayka Chayka 2-1 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
04.10.2020 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
09.11.2019 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-2 HT 2-2 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1-0
AWAY Chayka
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk nicked a narrow win over Chayka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SKA Khabarovsk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 42% of the ball to Chayka's 58%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 1.33 for Chayka.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Chayka?

SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 46%, draw 27%, Chayka 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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