Estrela U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 10 Sep 2024

Estrela U23
2-0
Santa Clara U23
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2024/2025

Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
37%
Draw
26%
+11.2pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estrela U23 v Santa Clara U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Estrela U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
2-0
AWAY Santa Clara U23
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 saw off Santa Clara U23 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 37% / 27% — and on the day Estrela U23 made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 36% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 64%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Estrela U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 37%, draw 37%, Santa Clara U23 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/27) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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