İtalya U20 0-3 Almanya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.9pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U20 EU Bookmakers 39%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+7% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U20
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Almanya U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
09.11.2017 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 2-2 HT 2-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
10.11.2016 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 0-1 HT 0-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 HAZ
12.11.2015 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 0-2 HT 0-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
03.09.2015 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 0-2 HT 0-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 HAZ
21.04.2015 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 2-1 HT 1-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 HAZ
15.04.2014 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 0-3 HT 0-0 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U20
0-3
AWAY Almanya U20
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH İtalya U20 vs Almanya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U20 swept aside İtalya U20 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Almanya U20 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, İtalya U20 had 55% of the ball to Almanya U20's 45%, shots finished 18-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İtalya U20 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İtalya U20 and 1.00 for Almanya U20.

What was the final score of İtalya U20 vs Almanya U20?

İtalya U20 0-3 Almanya U20 in the U20 Elit League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U20 vs Almanya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İtalya U20 35%, draw 27%, Almanya U20 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U20), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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