Meksika 2-2 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Sep 2025

📅10/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.18/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.78
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.7 Crosses 11.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Güney Kore
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.38 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
452 Passes 302
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2020 Meksika Meksika 3-2 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
23.06.2018 Güney Kore Güney Kore 1-2 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika DK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
2-2
AWAY Güney Kore
0.69 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
446 Passes 376
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika and Güney Kore shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Meksika at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meksika had 54% of the ball to Güney Kore's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.69 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Meksika and 1.50 for Güney Kore.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Güney Kore?

Meksika 2-2 Güney Kore in the Friendlies on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Meksika 42%, draw 24%, Güney Kore 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meksika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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