Jarfalla 1-6 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away Pick
64%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
1.0
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
46%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Djurgarden win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
5%
+16.4pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.2pp
64%
Away Win
88%
-23.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 94%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.54/0.57
+41% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +27%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden swept aside Jarfalla 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Djurgarden?

Jarfalla 1-6 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 21%, draw 15%, Djurgarden 64%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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