İtalya U20 1-2 İngiltere U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U20 EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U20
2W-0D-1L
AWAY İngiltere U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
333 Passes 398
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2023 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 0-3 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
01.06.2023 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 1-2 HT 1-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 DK20
08.06.2017 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 1-3 HT 1-0 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 DK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U20
1-2
AWAY İngiltere U20
1.01 xG 2.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U20 squeezed past İtalya U20 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day İngiltere U20 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U20 had 48% of the ball to İngiltere U20's 52%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.01 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İtalya U20 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İtalya U20 and 1.33 for İngiltere U20.

What was the final score of İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20?

İtalya U20 1-2 İngiltere U20 in the U20 Elit League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İtalya U20 37%, draw 23%, İngiltere U20 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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