Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.00/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.73
+17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
01.06.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
30.03.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-0
AWAY Club Olimpia
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta nicked a narrow win over Club Olimpia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Club Olimpia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 49% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 51%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 0.67 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Olimpia?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 22%, draw 22%, Club Olimpia 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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