Burnley vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Burnley
İNCL
4-0
HT 3-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Swansea City
İNP
3-2
HT 1-1
Burnley
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNP
Burnley 1-0 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley edged past Swansea City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Burnley had 52% of the ball to Swansea City's 48%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.85 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Burnley and 1.00 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Swansea City?
Burnley 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Burnley 43%, draw 28%, Swansea City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.