Cesena U20 3-1 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.75/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+16% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena U20
3-1
AWAY Lecce U20
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena U20 got the better of Lecce U20 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lecce U20 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cesena U20 had 56% of the ball to Lecce U20's 44%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Cesena U20 vs Lecce U20?

Cesena U20 3-1 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cesena U20 32%, draw 27%, Lecce U20 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lecce U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecce U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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