Inter Milano (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.12/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
-13% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.7 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1-0
AWAY Lazio (K)
1.70 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
336 Passes 265
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) edged past Lazio (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 54% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.70 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 63%, draw 21%, Lazio (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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