AS Eupen 0-4 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
12%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 40%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.36/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.27
-34% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
15.0 Crosses 22.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Patro Eisden
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
07.10.2015 AS Eupen AS Eupen 6-0 HT 3-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
13.03.2015 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 0-2 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
18.10.2014 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
0-4
AWAY Patro Eisden
0.54 xG 3.41
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 3
416 Passes 153
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden cruised past AS Eupen 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Patro Eisden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 67% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 33%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.54 to 3.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AS Eupen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AS Eupen and 0.33 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Patro Eisden?

AS Eupen 0-4 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 40%, draw 25%, Patro Eisden 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Eupen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5
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