Hassania Agadir 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.1pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.2pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
2.37/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.83
+30% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hassania Agadir
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-0 HT 2-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
06.10.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 3-1 HT 1-1 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
17.04.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-2 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
04.11.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
08.05.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 0-1 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
29.10.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 2-0 HT 2-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hassania Agadir
2-1
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hassania Agadir vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassania Agadir squeezed past Chabab Mohammedia 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hassania Agadir as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hassania Agadir had 51% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 49%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hassania Agadir and 1.33 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of Hassania Agadir vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Hassania Agadir 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassania Agadir vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hassania Agadir win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hassania Agadir 55%, draw 25%, Chabab Mohammedia 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassania Agadir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hassania Agadir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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