Milford 1-0 Upington City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milford EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Upington City EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.73/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milford
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Upington City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.11.2023 Upington City Upington City 1-0 HT 1-0 Milford Milford GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milford
1-0
AWAY Upington City
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milford vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milford edged past Upington City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milford as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Milford had 57% of the ball to Upington City's 43%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Milford vs Upington City?

Milford 1-0 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milford vs Upington City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milford win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Milford 41%, draw 24%, Upington City 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milford), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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