Basake Holy Stars 2-1 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.4pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
-0.1pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.6pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basake Holy Stars EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.30
-53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Basake Holy Stars vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basake Holy Stars edged past Accra Lions 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basake Holy Stars as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Basake Holy Stars vs Accra Lions?

Basake Holy Stars 2-1 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basake Holy Stars vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basake Holy Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Basake Holy Stars 46%, draw 37%, Accra Lions 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basake Holy Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basake Holy Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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