Leopards SC 1-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

Leopards SC
1-1 HT 0-1
TransMara Sugar
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Leopards SC vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.1pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leopards SC v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.69/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC and TransMara Sugar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leopards SC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs TransMara Sugar?

Leopards SC 1-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 47%, draw 29%, TransMara Sugar 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leopards SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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