Sparta Selemet 1-3 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.68
+0% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zimbru
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
1-3
AWAY Zimbru
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru saw off Sparta Selemet 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 47% of the ball to Zimbru's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs Zimbru?

Sparta Selemet 1-3 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 27%, draw 23%, Zimbru 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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