Ilirija 1-6 NK Brinje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.99
+73% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-1D-0L
AWAY NK Brinje
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 4-0 HT 2-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
27.11.2022 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
14.08.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
1-6
AWAY NK Brinje
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje ran out comfortable winners over Ilirija 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilirija had 38% of the ball to NK Brinje's 62%, shots finished 3-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ilirija had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ilirija and 0.33 for NK Brinje.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs NK Brinje?

Ilirija 1-6 NK Brinje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs NK Brinje?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 21%, draw 29%, NK Brinje 50%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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