Erbaaspor 1-4 68 Aksaray Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
52%
Away Win
46%
+6.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.01/1.00
+14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
204 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
16.05.2023 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor S3-3
11.12.2022 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-3
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor ran out comfortable winners over Erbaaspor 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Erbaaspor and 1.50 for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Erbaaspor 1-4 68 Aksaray Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 22%, draw 26%, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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