CA Penarol 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.52/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.28
-18% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 2-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
17.12.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
13.12.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
10.12.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
06.11.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.03.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 54% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 46%, shots finished 18-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA Penarol and 1.17 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

CA Penarol 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 59%, draw 23%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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