Madura United 0-1 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 10 Dec 2024

Madura United
0-1 HT 0-0
Semen Padang
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Madura United vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.60/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.26
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Madura United vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Semen Padang
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
20.10.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-2 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang edged past Madura United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Madura United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Semen Padang?

Madura United 0-1 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Madura United 43%, draw 30%, Semen Padang 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Madura United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madura United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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