AFC Bournemouth U21 2-3 Charlton Athletic U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.28
No
37%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
74%
-10.9pp
37%
BTTS No
26%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.06/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/1.64
+60% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Charlton Athletic U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.03.2024 Charlton Athletic U21 Charlton Athletic U21 1-2 HT 1-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
19.09.2023 Charlton Athletic U21 Charlton Athletic U21 0-4 HT 0-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 İNPLK
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic U21 nicked a narrow win over AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Bournemouth U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 0.50 for Charlton Athletic U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 2-3 Charlton Athletic U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 45%, draw 25%, Charlton Athletic U21 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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