Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Super Cup, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.77
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.15
X/1
18%
3.68
X/2
6%
12.85
X/X
15%
6.43
2/1
6%
21.15
2/2
9%
9.72
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Osasuna
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.82 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
567 Passes 243
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
02.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
08.11.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
13.03.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 3-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
12.12.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 2-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
06.03.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
2-0
AWAY Osasuna
1.96 xG 0.71
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
595 Passes 223
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona saw off Osasuna 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barcelona had 68% of the ball to Osasuna's 32%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.96 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barcelona and 0.67 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Osasuna?

Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Super Cup on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 48%, draw 29%, Osasuna 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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